Supply chain is the entire flow involved in the
delivery of the end product to the customer from the procurement of raw
materials to its transformation and finally to the distribution the end
products. Management of the activities of supply chain to make the most out of
the competitive market is supply chain management. To make the most of the
supply chain management it is very important to understand the demand of the
product and how it might be in the future.
The biggest hurdle of a business organization is to
estimate what, when and how to fulfill the needs of its customers. Forecasting
of supply chain management is a panacea for the risk factor that an
organization may emanate across in the future. It is the prediction of the
future to assist you to make the best possible choice in any decision you make.
Forecast can be based purely on the past experience, individual judgment or
based on data and mathematical formulas. However, forecast is uncertain and
only a possibility of the future.
For
a business organization, forecast of product demand can be very important for
planning decision. Accurate forecast will enable an organization to decide on
crucial supply chain activities such as the quantity of raw materials needed,
the mode of transportation needed, how and where to distribute the products.
In supply chain management, it is essential for a
firm to plan ahead for the materials that they are going to use for the
production which helps in managing the flow of the inventory within the firm
and ultimately contribution increasing the productivity of the organization. The
firm needs to forecast and understand the kind of materials and the quantity needed
and when to place the order. This will ensure that the right materials of the right
quantity and quality at the right time are available for manufacturing purposes.
Forecasting stipulates cost management, time management and labor management
whereby the firm can efficiently and effectively manage and ensure that there
is enough to supply in order to meet the demand from the customers. In order to
meet the demand of the customer at a particular region at a particular time, we
do contingency planning as one needs to be prepared for any risk management.
Mostly it is important to plan out the worst case scenarios as to what worst
thing can ever happen or what can be done about it? Negotiating with the
supplier/vendor and market analysis are another important factors in
forecasting as it helps maintain the inventory of the raw materials which keeps
the business going.
Forecasting will immensely contribute in the creation
of effective and efficient chain management system and ultimately contribute in
the productive of the company for sustainable competition.
Reference:
The Importance Of Forecasting In Supply Chain Management By Mike
Sachoff
Article Date: October 21, 2008
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.